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I think that makes sense. The war itself can be traced back to the protracted conflict that began eight years ago, when Russia began supporting separatists in eastern Ukraine and annexed Crimea. In this sense, the February invasion is only the most recent phase of the war. It is true that the previous phase was on a smaller scale, but we are talking about no less than 10,000 Russian soldiers who participated in that first phase of the Russian war against Ukraine.

The last phase of the war falls within the logic of this conflict that began in 2014. A threshold was crossed with the annexation of Crimea. It is important to understand this and separate the history south africa phone number list of Russia and Ukraine before and after this annexation. Earlier, Ukraine had signed the Budapest Memorandum in 1994 , handing over its nuclear weapons to Russia in exchange for security guarantees that Russia would not attack Ukraine. Putin trampled on those guarantees by going to war with Ukraine and occupying parts of the country in 2014-15. It was then that the war began.

From that moment, with the concentration of troops, a full-scale invasion became possible. Possible, but I would say not inevitable: Launching this invasion was ultimately Putin's decision. Many analysts claim that the annexation of Crimea was mainly due to security concerns on the part of Russia. Some argue that the main motive was fear of losing access to its naval base on the Black Sea, while others argue that Russia's central concern was North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) expansionism.